Event Title

The Effect of Household Income on the Outcome of Gubernatorial Elections in the Midwest

Advisor(s)

Patrick Kearney; Illinois Mathematics and Science Academy

Discipline

Behavioral and Social Sciences

Start Date

21-4-2021 10:05 AM

End Date

21-4-2021 10:20 AM

Abstract

There are a variety of internal and external factors that can possibly affect the decision a voter makes on Election Day. The purpose of this research is to identify if there is a correlation between household income (among other variables) and gubernatorial elections in the Midwest, which could be useful for evaluating potential outcomes of an election in a given year. I collected data from the US census and state election commission websites and compiled it all into a format where I used the language “R” to analyze it.

R analyzed the election data and variables from 3 election cycles. My

research found that counties in the Midwest tend to vote more for Democratic candidates. Counties with more college educated individuals, fewer white people, and with higher-aged populations also tend to vote more liberally. My results are fairly consistent with past research, indicating that voting trends in the Midwest are similar to trends found at a national level

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Apr 21st, 10:05 AM Apr 21st, 10:20 AM

The Effect of Household Income on the Outcome of Gubernatorial Elections in the Midwest

There are a variety of internal and external factors that can possibly affect the decision a voter makes on Election Day. The purpose of this research is to identify if there is a correlation between household income (among other variables) and gubernatorial elections in the Midwest, which could be useful for evaluating potential outcomes of an election in a given year. I collected data from the US census and state election commission websites and compiled it all into a format where I used the language “R” to analyze it.

R analyzed the election data and variables from 3 election cycles. My

research found that counties in the Midwest tend to vote more for Democratic candidates. Counties with more college educated individuals, fewer white people, and with higher-aged populations also tend to vote more liberally. My results are fairly consistent with past research, indicating that voting trends in the Midwest are similar to trends found at a national level